I'm no expert but I would suggest that you do what I intend to do, go and see them for a consultation, and use that experience to help you decide. You'll also get exact costs for the different procedures.
What I can say with some experience is that whatever surgery you have, and whoever does it, it can't ever be a 100% guaranteed successful outcome. There is skill, sure, but other factors play a part including luck.
You can have a bad experience with a surgeon, and yet the persons before you and after you can have great experiences.
It is a bit of a crapshoot at the end of the day, and I speak as someone whom has had a bad surgery experience, though not on the face (it was SRS).
Anyone who says "Go and see 'so and so' surgeon, they will do a great job for you", should be taken with a pinch of salt. You need to do your research, and your budget will possibly be a factor here as well, and then make your choice and hope it goes well.
Alternatively, if you are unsure about a certain surgeon doing your nose, then have a less drastic surgery with them (e.g. Tracheal Shave, or somesuch) and see how you felt about the whole experience.
At the end of the day, there is really no sure way to know how things will ultimately work out, especially in an area as important as your face.
