I don't know, I still say that it comes down to YMMV.
Dramatic changes sure won't happen in your face really quickly, but some noticeable change can happen rather quickly.
Tomorro will make it 3 weeks since I started hrt and there has definitely been some redistribution of fat on my face. I have had 2 people that know me but haven't seen me for a while, mention that I look younger and that something looks different.
I even see the difference.
My body is also responding, I'm losing weight around my rib cage and it seems to be straight down to the sides of my hips. I have some fat accumulation just below my navel area now too.
Don't get me wrong, nobody is calling me mam or she yet, but things are definitely happening.
So don't worry, the longer you're on it the more changes you're going to see. I can hardly wait for 6 months to fly by!