Quote from: WendyA on April 08, 2016, 06:36:44 AM
Here is the 12 year followup of the initial cohort of 24 folks with advanced CAD.
12 yrs, not 3 decades as you asserted earlier. And not hundreds of individuals but 24, some of whom (6) stopped the diet.
From actual study:
"I will present converging lines of evidence (many of them well-known and universally accepted) reiterating that when serum cholesterol levels are maintained <150 mg/dl, coronary artery disease is practically nonexistent.3 and 4"
He asserts this based on:
1) one one study where serum lipids were compared between different populations. The low prevalence of heart disease in a population being attributed to one marker, low levels of cholesterol (and the consumption of very little fat and saturated fat), is unscientific and wrong for the simple fact that there are so many other confounding variables that could account for low prevalence of heart disease (perhaps genetics, level of stress, smoking habits, sugar consumption, etc.). This is far from conclusive, as the author would like one to believe.
2) and another study almost identical which compares lipids and dietary habits between populations from which we can make no absolute and certain conclusion that one factor or another is responsible for low prevalence of coronary heart disease.
And many such studies are later pointed to show that low cholesterol vs high cholesterol is better for heart disease when there could be potentially be so many other factors responsible. To determine cause and effect, we need to isolate one variable. The author is not objective and seeks confirmation of his theory, rather than seeking actual facts. This is a mistake often done by researchers and scientists.
"In contrast, a 5-year experience has shown excellent results in patients with severe coronary artery disease who followed a plant-based diet containing <10% fat and who took cholesterol-lowering medication.14"
The very first thing that comes to mind is the fact that not only diet was changed (in which many variables were modified) but a medication was ADDED too. Who's to say the excellent results aren't solely due to the medication? Changing many variables at one time prevents one from reaching definite conclusions. I'm surprised the author ignores this. This study was 5 years, not 3 decades.
In this study, 5 out of the 22 dropped out. 11 made it to 5.5 years, so only 50%. Not a good sign. What happened to them? Did they die? Have a hard time following the diet? The sample size in this study is also quite small.
Then it is stated
"Among the 11 remaining patients after 10 years, six continued the diet and had no further coronary events, whereas the five dropouts who resumed their prestudy diet reported 10 coronary events."
Again, this shows how hard it is for people to follow this diet, despite having "severe coronary heart disease". Only six of the original 22 continued this diet. Those dropouts may have had an increased incidence due to going back to eating more sugar and refined carbs rather than due to eating more fat...we don't know. Did they also stop their cholesterol-lowering medication? It has also been found that some of these medications don't halt or slow down recurrence of heart disease due to necessarily lowering cholesterol but rather through some other mechanism.
In the end, there are so many things involved that we really don't know which way to look to determine what really caused what.
Then, he goes on to say
"Today, after 12 years, I have followed the original patient cohort to determine adherence, safety, adverse effects, and long-term benefits. The original cohort contained 1 woman and 23 men, all nonsmoking, nondiabetic, and nonhypertensive patients with severe, angiographically demonstrated coronary artery disease."
He now states there were 24 individuals in this cohort, as opposed to the 22 mentioned in the original study.

Also, if you notice, there was only 1 woman! So these findings clearly could not be relevant to women.
"They agreed to follow a plant-based diet with <10% of calories derived from fat. They were asked to eliminate oil, dairy products (except skim milk and no-fat yogurt), fish, fowl, and meat."
Hence, this is not a fat-free diet.
"Six nonadherent patients were released within the first 12 to 18 months of the study, and they returned to standard care."
5 mentioned in the original study and now 6. It's strange how he says one thing and then another when the sample is so small that errors of this magnitude would be unlikely. He's constantly changing his story. Is he really keeping good track?
"The remaining 18 patients adhered to the study diet and medication for 5 years. At 5 years, 11 of these patients underwent angiographic analysis by the percent stenosis method, which demonstrated disease arrest in all 11 (100%) and regression in 8 (73%)."
What about the 7 others? What happened to them? Why didn't they go through the same analysis?

"During the 7 years since the conclusion of the 5-year study, all but 1 patient have continued to adhere to the prescribed diet and medication."
Again, the numbers don't match with the other study.
In conclusion, it's messy and nothing certain can be concluded from this study.
QuoteHere is a paper on the second group which of 198 patients. Since this was a self selected (I don't want to die of a heart attack) group they had an adherence rate of 89-90%.
In this study:
Many things were modified. So, how do we know what caused what? B12 and a multivitamin was also added, caffeine, fructose were prohibited, all refined carbs, juices, etc. as well. Had they simply reduced refined carbs and all similarly very sweet foods, perhaps the same results would have been found. We don't know because so many factors were involved. Again, absolutely nothing certain can be concluded. Interestingly, again, 91% of the participants were men (180 of 198) AND this diet was sustained for an average of 3.7 years, not 3 decades...how did you come up with that figure?
They even state at the end of the study:
"Without a control group, it is challenging to establish causality and assess how much of the observed changes are specifically due to the diet. Only some of the observed beneficial outcomes may have been due to the diet. Tis study was not prospectively randomized."
Far from convincing, Wendy. I would not adhere to such a diet based on this evidence which to me is no evidence at all because we don't know what caused what? You may be depriving yourself of foods that are nutritious and enjoyable that could actually improve your quality of life. The study is unable to pinpoint which factor exactly accounted for improvements. I suspect just reducing the refined carbs, juice and sugary foods could be sufficient without the need to cut fat.
QuoteJust because this diet is shown to be very effective for CAD, stroke and Type 2 Diabetes doesn't mean there aren't other ways to get to the same point.
A diet that involves changing so many things that we really don't know what exactly is beneficial and what may not make a difference at all.
QuoteWho knows maybe one day they will be able to treat Coronary Artery Disease with a pill.
I think it's simple. We don't need a pill with a host of side-effects. Just to stop eating so many refined carbs and sweet foods. Avoid smoking and keep stress to a minimum.
QuoteI tried to review this but you're missing the article cite number that should be after the 337 and I'm not going to look in every article from that volume.
Had you copied and pasted the extract from the study into google, you would have found it.

Here is the link.
http://www.bmj.com/rapid-response/2011/11/02/problem-insoluble-fibre-irritable-bowel-syndrome