Kay, yes, I thinl we mostly agree; it's often a drop in estrogen that triggers migraines. I was also referring to a change in estrogen that makes someone have their *first* migraine, as happened to my wife; after that, they will of course be sensitive to certain things that can cause subsequent migraines. However, it is also true that changes in the estrogen levels of cis women (and it doesn't get more bioidentical than that) can trigger a migraine. It doesn't mean estrogen is bad, any more than caffeine or sleeping (variations in which are other common triggers) are bad, but it's a known issue for some susceptible people.
My wife has been off birth control for years, and she still gets migraines.