QuoteThe way I see it the Fed has taken the most extreme action since the great depression. There is a reason for that. We were in serious trouble.
You got it. I don't think anyone(media, general public) gets that yet.
Quote from: Lori on April 01, 2008, 06:11:01 PM
Hee hee..I have a 37 thread post on another forum from Last December when I moved my 401k moving over. Why we only lost 2000 pts since the high last year on the DOW is beyond me.
Commodities finally pulled back but oil and gold are still at record levels and those told me how bad things were. Those were the only safe havens for money. Things are way worse than what they will ever tell us they are. If we knew the real truth the Dow would be around 8500-9000 an nasdaq which has been hammered would be around 1000. I have no idea why the tech stocks suffered so bad when it was the financial institutions that were in trouble. Maybe tech stocks rely on more loans or something to keep going. What ever the reason is there are so many stocks below their 200 DMA its like christmas trying to find stocks to buy. If only I had a million dollars to invest right now...omg...
So far we are up to 973 billion on my last count that he Fed has loaned out at tax payers expense. There are tent cities popping up everywhere as the homeless are looking for shelter. The economy certainly has slowed and we are probably in a recession. We won't know for sure until April in my book when the numbers come out. Many think it started in January this year which means we will be waiting until June or July for the official results. I think it started in October of last year and has slowed down more and more each month.
The markets thinks the fed can step in an save it one more time and that is why you saw the uptrend start in March. But I think
the markets are just playing the game till the next big downleg. The Fed is out of bullets, the rate cuts are not working and they've
had to start doing things that the fed has never done before and now they want even more power. There is a saying "you cannot
fight the fed" and that has been true. But this time it's very different and the tools that the fed has to fight this problem have been
used and have failed for the most part and now they are forced into more drastic actions.
The problem is the Fed cannot fix this with what they have available and that is why they have asked for more powers. The reason
lowering rates has not helped is that banks are afraid to loan to anyone and they do not have the reserves to do it.
Right now banks are so afraid to loan money for ANY project and that is why the Fed is in panic mode. When banks can't or
won't loan money, EVERYTHING stops.
I hope I wrong about all this.
Quote
What makes 973 billion loan so bad from the Fed is they printed this money up and its based on "nothing". That caused inflation, stagflation and god knows what else. Prices of everything has gone up when the dollar is worth less. Funny how things work out like that. Other countries are sure enjoying shopping over here though.
What the fed wants to do is create inflation and they have in some areas(food, oil) but in other areas(real estate) we have massive
deflation. And to compound it we already had a weak dollar so any steps to lower rates will also drive down the dollar. That is why
everything is moving to gold. A weaker dollar hurts us so much more now than in the past because we buy so much more foreign
goods than in the past and a weak dollar buys less. It's a horrible place to to because a "fix" in one area hurts another. The best
we can hope for is stagflation, that will be painful, but I think it will be a lot worse.
Quote
Well anyhow....they say we have reached bottom and its never wise to argue with the market so I jumped back in today and started investing again. Watch it roll over and die tomorrow. I'll be sooo pissed.
I personally do not have anything sitting in stocks or MF's since December when I saw the Fed's report, it's way too risky in my
opinion, because when everyone tries to leave at the same time it's going to get ugly. The upside is only a few hundred
points on the dow, if it breaks 12,800 to 13,000 then yes it might be a bottom but right now all I see is a small uptrend
since March 5 and the best I think the market is going to do is go sideways. What's the point of taking the risk if we
are moving sideways?
This is the last I'm going to post about this, I'm normally a very positive person and this makes me sick to think about
because it's so negative and disturbing. ... and there are a many more happy things to talk about here

Amanda