Interesting article here:
http://articles.moneycentral.msn.com/Investing/JubaksJournal/HowWallStreetGotIntoThisMess.aspx?page=allI cut and pasted a bit...
How Wall Street got into this mess
An aging society needed safe investments with a reasonably high yield to pay years of pensions. Wall Street invented a solution that sounded too good to be true -- and it turns out it was.
How did some of the smartest minds on Wall Street and at banks, insurance companies, pension funds and hedge funds around the world get into the current financial-market mess?
And how is it that you and I will wind up paying the bill, ultimately?
To answer those questions, let's start with a quick rundown of recent bad news in the continuing meltdown in the credit market for assets based on mortgages and buyout loans.
Thursday's massive 387-point sell-off in the Dow Jones Industrial Average followed a meltdown in Europe...
Two mortgage insurers, Mortgage Guaranty and Radian (RDN, news, msgs), have said that a $1 billion investment in a subprime mortgage company could be worthless...
After seeing $14 billion to $20 billion in assets evaporate as two of its leveraged hedge funds went bust, Bear Stearns announced that a third, unleveraged, hedge fund had run up big losses. It froze investor accounts.
Braddock Financial closed a $300-million hedge fund after subprime losses.
German bank KfW said it would bail out a German lender with subprime losses.
Australia's Macquarie Bank said investors in one of its mutual funds would lose up to 25% of their money thanks to losses in the subprime sector.
And shares of American Home Mortgage lost 97% of their value after the lender said it could no longer raise capital for new loans and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
Some 46 financing deals representing over $60 billion have been pulled from the market since June 22...
How did all this happen? As any good con man will tell you, the success of a con depends on the mark wanting to believe. The victim, in essence, talks himself into getting fleeced.
In this case, the global investment community wanted to believe that Wall Street and other centers of financial engineering could manufacture investment-grade, long-term debt to meet the huge demand of insurance companies, pension funds and central governments for predictable, long-lived and safe interest-paying investments. Because the need for this paper was so great, these marks were willing to suspend belief. They knew in their heads that you can't manufacture investment-grade debt. But in their hearts they wanted to believe. They needed to believe. They had to believe.
Because, you see, it's the only way out for an aging world that's running a huge shortage of the real stuff...
Maybe the easiest place to start to understand this global con is with the U.S. corporate bond market. For the past 25 years, there's been a headlong rush to junk quality in a market that once provided investors with an amazing combination of safety and higher yields...
This decay in the credit quality of corporate bonds couldn't come at a much worse time for the managers of pension funds, insurance company portfolios and, indeed, any portfolio designed to cover the huge costs of retirement in a rapidly aging world. By the middle of this century, demographers estimate, about 15% of the world's population will be older than 65, the traditional retirement age in the United States. That's a huge increase from today -- just 7% of the world's population is older than 65.
Money has to last longer
The retirement bulge is even bigger than that shift in percentages indicates. First, the developed world, with the bulk of the world's formally organized pools of retirement assets, is aging faster than the globe as a whole. In Japan, the oldster of the developed world, for example, 20% of the population is already older than 65; that percentage is projected to be 30% by 2025. And second, once workers and their spouses hit retirement age and start collecting their pensions, they are living longer. Of the 20% of Japan's population older than 65, half are older than 75. Longer life spans mean pension funds and other retirement vehicles have to pay out longer and more for each retiree.
Faced with this rising tide of retirement obligations, managers of retirement money in one form or another found themselves between a rock and a hard place. They needed safe assets. Some of them are required by the rules of their portfolios to invest in only investment-grade assets. They needed long-lived assets that matched the dates in the future when obligations to issue retirement payments materialize. And they needed assets that deliver high returns while still meeting the requirements of safety and long maturity...
And that was the moment when Wall Street walked in the door with an amazing deal. Investment bankers should spin speculative-grade credits -- whether corporate debt and loans from a buyout deal or mortgages from financially challenged home buyers -- into investment-grade credits. By bundling together groups of credits, or pools of loans, corporate debt or mortgages, the investment banks said, you'd lower the risk that an investor would take a hit if any one loan or mortgage went bad...
And then, by cutting up those pools and putting the riskiest deals together in one segment, called a tranche, and the less-risky deals in other tranches, you could insure the less-risky tranches against loss. The riskiest tranches might get wiped out, which is why investors who bought them got a higher yield, but they created a kind of buffer for investors in the less-risky tranches, the investment banks said. Investors in those less-risky tranches wouldn't take a hit until the more risky tranches were wiped out, the banks promised. And it follows, the banks argued, that the less-risky tranches met the standards for investment-grade credit ratings. (For more detail on how this works, see my June 29 column, "Deepening debt crisis hits close to home.")
Voila! From pools of risky speculative-grade credits, Wall Street could manufacture the investment-grade credits that the retirement industry desperately needed.
The managers of retirement assets could have said no to Wall Street. Some managers did.
But others signed up to be conned. They heard what they wanted to hear. They closed their eyes and ears to the voices in their own heads questioning if you really could turn straw into gold by slicing up a pool of speculative-grade credits. And they decided to overlook what they knew of the history of other Wall Street miracles of financial engineering...
Wall Street has collected the fees for putting together these deals. Partners at investment banks and hedge funds have pocketed their performance bonuses. And who is now stuck paying the bill?
Despite the spectacular damage meted out to a few on Wall Street in the most high-profile crashes of hedge funds or investment pools, it's the retirement pools of the world and the folks who pay into them and expect to collect from them who ultimately will pay. Every fund that crashes, every asset that goes from $1 to 50 cents takes a piece of the global retirement pie with it. At a time when the world needs every cent it can save to pay for its aging.
Quote from: ChildOfTheLight on August 09, 2007, 11:13:52 AM
It's corporate fascism (which is the only kind of fascism -- look up the definition) with lip service to libertarian ideals that is worst of all (and which Amy correctly denounces.) What it amounts to is anything but libertarian -- those with friends in the right places don't have to follow the law and get to say that what they're doing is the action of the free market. Enron, for instance, wasn't the result of a free market -- it was the result of fraud and playing games with the regulations.
As for the orignial topic, I'm not convinced it's a scam, but I've become skeptical. You can't consume more than you produce without stealing or borrowing -- and theives get shot and debts come due. What are we producing for trade with other nations? Increasingly less.